Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:09
Clermont Foot

Clermont Foot

Home
D
41
Full time
Andrézieux

Andrézieux

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Clermont Foot42%
Draw35%
Andrézieux23%
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Clermont Foot
42%
Draw
35%
Andrézieux
23%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Clermont Foot
9
Andrézieux
100
Defence
Clermont Foot
91
Andrézieux
6
Momentum
Clermont Foot
33
Andrézieux
100
Danger (xG)
Clermont Foot
0.00
Andrézieux
5.40
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 2.20 xG for Clermont Foot and 1.47 xG for Andrézieux — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Andrézieux holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Clermont Foot's Attack Score (9) exceeds Andrézieux's Defensive Stability (6), and Andrézieux's attack (100) similarly tests Clermont Foot's defence (91). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 3.67 — high attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Clermont Foot)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Andrézieux)
5.40
avg per match
xG against (Clermont Foot)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Andrézieux)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Clermont FootClermont Foot
D
AndrézieuxAndrézieux
W

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Clermont Foot42%
Draw35%
Andrézieux23%

Clermont Foot leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Clermont Foot Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Clermont Foot take on Andrézieux in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.20 for Clermont Foot and 1.47 for Andrézieux. The gap of 0.72 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Clermont Foot

Clermont Foot

D
vs Bourges Foot 18
15 Jul 2026
00
Andrézieux

Andrézieux

W
vs Rousset-Ste Victoire
16 May 2026
63

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Clermont Foot vs Andrézieux?

GoalVio's model predicts Clermont Foot to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Clermont Foot vs Andrézieux?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Clermont Foot vs Andrézieux?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Clermont Foot vs Andrézieux?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more