Cleethorpes Townvs
Curzon Ashton
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cleethorpes Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cleethorpes Town 1-3 Curzon Ashton
Original prediction
Cleethorpes Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 51.3% | 60.0% | 8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.7% | 21.2% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 3.89 | 23.0% | 18.8% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Cleethorpes Town
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
60.0%
Cleethorpes Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 2 · avg 3.40/0.40
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80