Claypolevs
Sacachispas
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 9/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sacachispas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Claypole 0-0 Sacachispas, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Claypole 2-0 Sacachispas
Original prediction
Sacachispas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.56 | 25.1% | 25.3% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.84 | 31.4% | 32.4% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 43.5% | 42.3% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Projected Score
Claypole 0–0 Sacachispas
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Sacachispas
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Sacachispas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ClaypoleLLDWL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
SacachispasDWLDW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ClaypoleSacachispas
23.5Attack39.5
56.8Defence75.3
32.1Form56.8
40.2Power58.1
0.35xG0.99