Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
36%
HighconfidenceClaypole are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Fénix are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and fénix hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (41.0 v 43.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Primera C, favouring a draw with 35.8% confidence, a 18% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
35.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ClaypoleLLLDD
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FénixWDDWW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ClaypoleFénix
24.2Attack21.2
57.6Defence66.7
33.3Form33.3
41.0Power43.1
0.52xG0.54