Claypolevs
El Porvenir
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 5/3/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Claypole are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while El Porvenir are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and El Porvenir hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00