GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 4/15/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Clarence Zebras · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Clarence Zebras are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (LDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Launceston United are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Clarence Zebras hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 17.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.4% in the Tasmania NPL, while Clarence Zebras holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Clarence Zebras

Probability

84.4%

Model confidence

84.4%

Clarence Zebras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Clarence ZebrasLDD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
Launceston UnitedLLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/3.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Clarence ZebrasLaunceston United
54.4Attack31.5
47.4Defence0.0
49.1Form9.3
51.0Power17.5
3.96xG0.90
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