GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 5/23/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kingborough Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Clarence Zebras are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Kingborough Lions are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kingborough Lions hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 74.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.2% in the Tasmania NPL, while Kingborough Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kingborough Lions

Probability

71.2%

Model confidence

71.2%

Kingborough Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Clarence ZebrasWWLWW

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Kingborough LionsWWWWL

GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Clarence ZebrasKingborough Lions
54.4Attack91.2
47.4Defence68.4
49.1Form75.4
51.0Power74.6
1.12xG3.03
View match centre →