GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 4/2/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kingborough Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Clarence Zebras are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Kingborough Lions are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kingborough Lions hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 74.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.2% in the Tasmania NPL, while Kingborough Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kingborough Lions

Probability

71.2%

Model confidence

71.2%

Kingborough Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Clarence ZebrasDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Kingborough LionsWL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Clarence ZebrasKingborough Lions
54.4Attack91.2
47.4Defence68.4
49.1Form75.4
51.0Power74.6
1.12xG3.03
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