Clarence Zebrasvs
Glenorchy Knights
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania NPL · 4/11/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Clarence Zebras · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Clarence Zebras are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Glenorchy Knights are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Clarence Zebras hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.1% in the Tasmania NPL, while Clarence Zebras holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Clarence Zebras
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Clarence Zebras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20