GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 5/2/2026, 6:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hobart City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-4

Highconfidence

Clarence Zebras II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Hobart City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Hobart City hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 60.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Hobart City holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hobart City

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

53.8%

Hobart City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Clarence Zebras IILWWWW

GF 17 · GA 13 · avg 3.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Hobart CityWWDLD

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Clarence Zebras IIHobart City
77.1Attack85.4
14.6Defence41.7
45.8Form56.3
44.4Power60.2
3.01xG4.50
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