GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 4/11/2026, 6:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Clarence Zebras II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-3

Lowconfidence

Clarence Zebras II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Glenorchy Knights U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 4.80 scored and 5.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Clarence Zebras II hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 26.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Clarence Zebras II holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 95% BTTS chance and 98% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Clarence Zebras II

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

6.8%

Clarence Zebras II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Clarence Zebras IIWWWLW

GF 17 · GA 10 · avg 3.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Glenorchy Knights U21LWDLL

GF 24 · GA 25 · avg 4.80/5.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Clarence Zebras IIGlenorchy Knights U21
77.1Attack72.5
14.6Defence0.0
45.8Form21.6
44.4Power26.8
4.50xG3.49
View match centre →