Cjarlins Muzanevs
Virtus Bolzano
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone C · 10/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cjarlins Muzane · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cjarlins Muzane 3-2 Virtus Bolzano
Original prediction
Cjarlins Muzane
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 75.1% | 46.4% | -28.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.48 | 16.2% | 27.1% | 10.9 pts |
| Away | 10.20 | 8.7% | 26.5% | 17.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Cjarlins Muzane
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Cjarlins Muzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20