GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 5/9/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

CIVO United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ekhaya are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ekhaya hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.8% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

34.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CIVO UnitedWDWWL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
EkhayaDLWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CIVO UnitedEkhaya
16.7Attack36.1
63.9Defence77.8
30.6Form47.2
40.0Power54.9
0.34xG0.75
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