Ciudad de Bolívarvs
San Telmo
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/11/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ciudad de Bolívar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ciudad de Bolívar 0-0 San Telmo, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ciudad de Bolívar 1-0 San Telmo
Original prediction
Ciudad de Bolívar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 52.0% | 42.6% | -9.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.5% | 35.6% | 7.1 pts |
| Away | 4.71 | 19.5% | 21.9% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.4 pts
Projected Score
Ciudad de Bolívar 0–0 San Telmo
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Ciudad de Bolívar
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Ciudad de Bolívar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60