GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 2/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ciudad de Bolívar are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Los Andes are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Andes hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 13% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

58.5%

Model confidence

58.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ciudad de BolívarLDDWL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Los AndesDLLLW

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Ciudad de BolívarLos Andes
28.0Attack27.8
70.7Defence80.6
45.3Form45.8
50.5Power52.7
0.40xG0.46
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