GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ciudad de Bolívar are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Deportivo Madryn are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Madryn hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 56.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 28.1% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.0%

Model confidence

28.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ciudad de BolívarDWDDD

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Deportivo MadrynWWDWL

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ciudad de BolívarDeportivo Madryn
29.2Attack43.5
70.8Defence68.1
47.2Form52.2
51.6Power56.7
0.60xG0.71
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