Ciudad de Bolívarvs
Defensores De Belgrano
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 8/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ciudad de Bolívar 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano, with an exact score probability of 40%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ciudad de Bolívar 1-0 Defensores De Belgrano
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 34.2% | 37.0% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.72 | 33.7% | 39.8% | 6.2 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 32.1% | 23.2% | -8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Projected Score
Ciudad de Bolívar 0–0 Defensores De Belgrano
Exact score probability: 40%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00