GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ciudad de Bolívar are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Defensores De Belgrano are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Ciudad de Bolívar hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

39.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ciudad de BolívarLLLWD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Defensores De BelgranoDLDDL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Ciudad de BolívarDefensores De Belgrano
29.2Attack23.2
70.8Defence69.6
47.2Form36.2
51.6Power45.3
0.59xG0.37
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