Ciudad de Bolívarvs
Colon Santa Fe
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/25/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ciudad de Bolívar 0-0 Colon Santa Fe, with an exact score probability of 33%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ciudad de Bolívar 0-2 Colon Santa Fe
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.7% | 28.4% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.71 | 33.7% | 36.9% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.7% | 34.7% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Projected Score
Ciudad de Bolívar 0–0 Colon Santa Fe
Exact score probability: 33%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40