Ciudad de Bolívarvs
Chaco For Ever
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ciudad de Bolívar 0-0 Chaco For Ever, with an exact score probability of 36%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ciudad de Bolívar 2-1 Chaco For Ever
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.7% | 34.1% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.75 | 33.2% | 37.8% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 3.25 | 28.1% | 28.1% | 0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Projected Score
Ciudad de Bolívar 0–0 Chaco For Ever
Exact score probability: 36%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00