GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 3/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ciudad de Bolívar are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Almirante Brown are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Almirante Brown hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 13% BTTS chance and 5% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

58.9%

Model confidence

58.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ciudad de BolívarDDDLD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Almirante BrownLWWDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ciudad de BolívarAlmirante Brown
29.2Attack26.4
70.8Defence81.9
47.2Form52.8
51.6Power56.1
0.41xG0.43
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