GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 5/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ciudad de Bolívar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Acassuso are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Ciudad de Bolívar hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 40.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ciudad de BolívarWLWWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AcassusoDLLLD

GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Ciudad de BolívarAcassuso
28.0Attack25.0
70.7Defence59.7
45.3Form30.6
50.5Power40.6
0.76xG0.40
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