Cittadellavs
Union Brescia
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 12/1/2025, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cittadella are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Union Brescia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Brescia hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60