Cittadellavs
Triestina
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/12/2025, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Cittadella are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Triestina are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80