Cittadellavs
Renate
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 2/16/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cittadella · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cittadella are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Renate are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cittadella hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Cittadella holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cittadella
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Cittadella has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80