Cittadellavs
Pro Patria
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/29/2025, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cittadella · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Cittadella are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Pro Patria are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cittadella hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Cittadella holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cittadella
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Cittadella has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00