Cittadellavs
Pergolettese
SCHEDULEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 8/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cittadella · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cittadella are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Pergolettese are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and cittadella hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Serie C - Girone A, favouring Cittadella with 16.0% confidence, a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cittadella
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
16.0%
Cittadella has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00