GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 1/17/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cittadella · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Cittadella are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pergolettese are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cittadella hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Cittadella holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cittadella

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Cittadella has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CittadellaLWWDL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PergoletteseLLLLD

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CittadellaPergolettese
39.5Attack38.6
62.3Defence56.1
51.8Form39.5
53.5Power45.8
1.14xG0.78
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