Cittadellavs
Novara
SCHEDULEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 2/21/2027, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cittadella · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cittadella are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Novara are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cittadella hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Cittadella holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cittadella
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Cittadella has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00