Cittadellavs
Lumezzane
SCHEDULEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cittadella are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lumezzane are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cittadella hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Serie C - Girone A, favouring a draw with 15.5% confidence, a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.8%
Model confidence
15.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00