Cittadellavs
Lumezzane
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/25/2025, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cittadella are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lumezzane are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cittadella hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20