Cittadellavs
Folgore Caratese
SCHEDULEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 11/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Cittadella are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Folgore Caratese are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Cittadella hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50