Cittadella U19vs
Padova U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 10/24/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cittadella U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cittadella U19 0-2 Padova U19
Original prediction
Cittadella U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 19:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 45.7% | 44.0% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.3% | 25.6% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.0% | 30.3% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Cittadella U19
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Cittadella U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00