Cittadella U19vs
Modena U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Modena U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cittadella U19 4-2 Modena U19
Original prediction
Modena U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.22 | 28.0% | 26.2% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.3% | 20.1% | -5.3 pts |
| Away | 1.93 | 46.7% | 53.8% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Modena U19
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Modena U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00