Città di Anagnivs
Paganese
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone G · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paganese · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Città di Anagni 2-1 Paganese
Original prediction
Paganese
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.27 | 27.5% | 35.6% | 8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.6% | 28.3% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.01 | 44.9% | 36.0% | -8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Paganese
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Paganese has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40