Circulo Deportivovs
Sol de Mayo
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 9/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Circulo Deportivo 0-0 Sol de Mayo, with an exact score probability of 34%.
Prediction record
Final result
Circulo Deportivo 2-1 Sol de Mayo
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 52.7% | 38.6% | -14.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.9% | 36.5% | 7.6 pts |
| Away | 4.88 | 18.5% | 25.0% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Projected Score
Circulo Deportivo 0–0 Sol de Mayo
Exact score probability: 34%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
38.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Circulo DeportivoLLDDW
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sol de MayoLLWLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Circulo DeportivoSol de Mayo
15.2Attack30.3
69.7Defence57.6
27.3Form36.4
39.8Power44.1
0.61xG0.52