GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 6/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Circulo Deportivo are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Santamarina are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Circulo Deportivo hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (41.0 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

38.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Circulo DeportivoDDLDD

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
SantamarinaWLLDL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Circulo DeportivoSantamarina
15.8Attack17.5
70.2Defence57.9
29.8Form22.8
41.0Power34.7
0.62xG0.36
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