GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Circulo Deportivo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Costa Brava are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and costa Brava hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (40.6 v 46.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Torneo Federal A, favouring a draw with 40.9% confidence, a 14% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

40.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Circulo DeportivoWLDWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Costa BravaDDLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Circulo DeportivoCosta Brava
16.7Attack27.8
68.5Defence70.4
29.6Form37.0
40.6Power46.9
0.42xG0.49
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