Circulo Deportivovs
Alvarado
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Circulo Deportivo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Alvarado are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alvarado hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (41.0 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 14% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
36.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40