Cipollettivs
Alvarado
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 9/13/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cipolletti 0-0 Alvarado, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cipolletti 1-0 Alvarado
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 33.9% | 27.0% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.55 | 35.2% | 34.6% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.91 | 30.9% | 38.5% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Projected Score
Cipolletti 0–0 Alvarado
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.6%
Model confidence
38.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CipollettiDDLWD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
AlvaradoWWDDW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CipollettiAlvarado
39.4Attack42.4
66.7Defence84.8
51.5Form62.1
54.4Power63.7
0.56xG0.80