Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cinfães · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Cinfães are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sousense have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Cinfães hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.8% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B, while Cinfães holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cinfães
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
15.8%
Cinfães has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00