Cinfãesvs
Alpendorada
COMPLETEDPortugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · 10/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cinfães · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cinfães 0-0 Alpendorada
Original prediction
Cinfães
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 45.3% | 38.7% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 29.0% | 30.3% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.54 | 25.7% | 31.0% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Cinfães
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Cinfães has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80