Cimarronesvs
Tlaxcala
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/31/2024, 3:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cimarrones · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Cimarrones are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tlaxcala are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cimarrones hold a 33.1-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Cimarrones holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cimarrones
Probability
59.9%
Model confidence
59.9%
Cimarrones has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00