CimarronesvsTepatitlán

Cimarrones are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cimarrones hold a 38.5-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Cimarrones holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.