CimarronesvsTapatío

Cimarrones are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Tapatío are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tapatío hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Cimarrones holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.