CimarronesvsMonarcas

Cimarrones are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Monarcas are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.