GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/14/2024, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cimarrones are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CimarronesLWWLL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Mineros de ZacatecasWDLDL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CimarronesMineros de Zacatecas
53.8Attack100.0
50.5Defence41.7
46.2Form66.7
51.4Power68.8
1.75xG1.78
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