CimarronesvsLeones Negros UDG

Cimarrones are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Cimarrones holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.