Cimarronesvs
Dorados
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/6/2023, 3:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cimarrones · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cimarrones are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Dorados are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Cimarrones holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cimarrones
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
35.5%
Cimarrones has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/2.50
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/2.00