Cimarronesvs
Correcaminos Uat
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/14/2023, 3:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cimarrones · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cimarrones are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Cimarrones holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cimarrones
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Cimarrones has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00