Cimarronesvs
Celaya
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/25/2024, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cimarrones · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Cimarrones are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Celaya are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 51.4 against 52.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Cimarrones holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cimarrones
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
35.6%
Cimarrones has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80